1. Alex Neil MSP (MSP for Central Scotland 1999-)
2. Michael Matheson MSP (MSP for Central Scotland 1999-)
3. Linda Fabiani MSP (MSP for Central Scotland 1999-)
4. Douglas Henderson (MP for East Aberdeenshire 1974-79)
5. Jamie Hepburn
6. Christina McKelvie
7. John Wilson
8. Marion Fellows
9. Frances McGlinshey
The 2003 numbers would have a return for all of the sitting MSPs, and a collapse in the SSP vote could allow Douglas Henderson in. However, Cumbernauld & Kilsyth and Kilmarnock & Loudoun are key SNP targets: should they pick up both of these then the chances of them holding onto all three List seats are slim. This puts Linda Fabiani's seat in jeopardy, unless she can unseat Finance Minister Andy Kerr in East Kilbride.
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