Channel 4/YouGov poll

Much has been discussed of the YouGov poll for Channel 4 this week. Using my own model, I get the following result for Holyrood:

SNP 45
Labour 40
Conservatives 18
Liberal Democrats 17
Greens 7
Others 2

This poll also commissioned results for Westminster and the Local Elections. In the Westminster poll I get: Labour 37, SNP 9, Conservatives 6, Liberal Democrats 6, Speaker 1. For the local poll, I forecast most Councils being hung (as you'd expect with STV), but Independents could hold onto the Island councils and Highland. Labour will hold onto North Lanarkshire and if the SNP take the Provostship in Clackmannanshire, they'll control that council. On the figures, Labour would be the largest group in 10 Councils, the SNP in 7, the Liberal Democrats in 5 and the Tories in 4. Independents could still form the largest groups in 6 Councils.