ICM/Scotsman Poll: North East Scotland

SNP: 32%/29%
LibDems: 24%/20%
Conservatives: 18%/20%
Labour: 17%/14%
SSP: 4%/5%
Green: 3%/10%
Solidarity: 1%/0%

The North East is seen as the SNP's traditional stronghold, but there little sign of an advance on these figures. Victory in Aberdeen Central and Dundee West is contingent on at least some support for the SNP on the Constituency vote from the SSP and Greens, while if these figures were replicated in the election, Alex Salmond's best hope for returning to Holyrood would come from failure to win those two seats. The full results:

SNP 5-6 (4-6 constituencies, 0-1 regional, up 0-1)
LibDems 3-4 (3 constituencies, 0-1 regional, up 0-1)*
Conservatives 3-4 (all regional, up 0-1)*
Labour 2 (0-2 constituencies, 0-2 regional, down 2)
Green 2 (both regional, up 1)

* The LibDems are tied on the Regional Vote. In the event that Labour hold their two North Eastern constituencies, the current figures would provide a vacancy for either a fourth Tory Regional MSP or a Liberal Democrat Regional MSP, but not both.