Tuesday, November 28, 2006

ICM/Scotsman Poll: South of Scotland

SNP: 33%/31%
Labour: 25%/23%
LibDems: 23%/24%
Conservatives: 13%/16%
Green: 1%/2%
SSP: 1%/1%
Solidarity: 0%/1%

This poll sees the SNP win back Galloway & Upper Nithsdale, which it lost in 2003. They could also take Clydesdale and Cunninghame South from Labour, but the strong LibDem showing could stop them from taking Tweeddale, Ettrick & Lauderdale as well. Further, the LibDems' ratings have them winning East Lothian from Labour, whose only saving grace could be the Tories' poor showing in Ayr allowing them to win back the seat they lost six years ago. The full results:

SNP 5 (3 constituencies, 2 regional, up 2)
Labour 4 (3 constituencies, 1 regional, down 1)
LibDems 4 (3 constituencies, 1 regional, up 2)
Conservatives 3 (all regional, down 1)
Greens 0 (down 1)
SSP 0 (down 1 on 2003)

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